Sitrep for March 21-24, 2025 (as of 9 a.m. UTC+3)
The Wall Street Journal published a report on the withdrawal of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the Kursk region, featuring comments from Ukrainian soldiers.
Sitrep for March 17-21, 2025 (as of 9:30 a.m. UTC+3)
Over the past 24 hours, the frontline in the Kursk region has become more active. The Russian Armed Forces have advanced further, reducing the width of the Ukrainian bridgehead to just 4-5 km [2.5-3.1 mi].
Sitrep for March 14-17, 2025 (as of 10:30 a.m. UTC+3)
In the Kursk region, the remaining part of the Armed Forces of Ukraine's bridgehead has not been fully cleared in recent days—two sections remain under Ukrainian control. These areas, less than 10 km [6.2 mi] wide, are highly vulnerable to Russian fire. The AFU continue to hold this elevated ground, as shown on the DeepState map. This positioning allows for better control of the area, preventing Russian advances into the Sumy region. It also enables Ukrainian forces to construct fortifications, establish defensive positions and repel Russian saboteurs attacking the lowland villages of Basivka and Novenke. We believe it is unlikely that the AFU will retain this remaining bridgehead for long, meaning the Russian Armed Forces will likely...
Sitrep for March 10-14, 2025 (as of 11 a.m. UTC+3)
Almost the entire frontline remains quiet, with the only exception still being the Ukrainian bridgehead in the Kursk region. In recent days, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have withdrawn from most of the town of Sudzha.
Sitrep for March 7-10, 2025 (as of 11 a.m. UTC+3)
The key events of recent days have been unfolding in the Kursk region. It is worth noting that in the middle of last week, Russian forces managed to break through from the village of Kurilovka and get close to the N-07 (R-200) highway from another direction. This road is used to supply the Ukrainian grouping in the town of Sudzha. As a result, Russian drone operators gained the ability to strike Ukrainian vehicles not only from the west but also from the east, significantly complicating the position of Ukrainian forces in the region.
Sitrep for March 3-7, 2025 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
In the Pokrovsk direction, Ukrainian forces have retaken positions near the village of Uspenivka on the western flank of the Russian salient. After Russian advances in this sector largely stalled in early February, the Armed Forces of Ukraine launched counterattacks. While these localized counterattacks have been relatively successful, they are unlikely to lead to a larger Ukrainian effort to reclaim occupied territory in this direction in the near future. This is not only due to Ukraine’s ongoing manpower shortages but also to the halt in US military aid. Under these conditions, the AFU command is likely to conserve resources—such as ammunition and armored vehicles—while continuing localized counterattacks with varying degrees of success.
Sitrep for Feb. 28-March 3, 2025 (as of 11 a.m. UTC+3)
Over the past few days, there have been relatively few changes on the frontline, with both Ukrainian and Russian forces significantly slowing the pace of their advances. This trend is expected to continue in the foreseeable future.
Sitrep for Feb. 24-28, 2025 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
On Feb. 26, in a live broadcast, we explained the data collection methods we used to analyze the movement of Russian army units to Ukraine's borders in 2021 as part of preparations for the full-scale invasion.
Sitrep for Feb. 21-24, 2025 (as of 11 a.m. UTC+3)
In the South Donetsk direction, Russian forces have straightened the frontline north of the village of Velyka Novosilka, capturing the villages of Novoocheretuvate and Novyi Komar, and are advancing along the Mokri Yaly River toward the village of Dniproenerhiia.
Sitrep for Feb. 17-21, 2025 (as of 10:30 a.m. UTC+3)
In the South Donetsk direction, the Russian Armed Forces have secured positions in the village of Novoocheretuvate, north of the village of Velyka Novosilka, and to the west, they have partially taken control of the village of Novosilka. Thus, over the past week, Russian forces have slightly expanded their zone of control in this area