Sitrep for June 17-19, 2024 (as of 9:00 a.m. UTC+3)

The Ukrainian project DeepState, likely relying on data from the 3rd Separate Assault Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, reported that Russian troops had accumulated a significant number of personnel (up to 10 thousand people) and about 450 armored vehicles and have begun to advance in the direction of the village of Borova,south of the town of Kupiansk. However, no confirmation of this claim has been seen so far. Reports indicate that the attack is being countered by the 3rd Separate Assault Brigade, but photo or video evidence of large-scale attacks on this sector of the frontline has also not yet emerged. Furthermore, the scale of the accumulation of Russian forces could have been significantly exaggerated. Likewise, there...

Sitrep for June 14-17, 2024 (as of 8:30 UTC+3 a.m.)

On June 15, a Summit on Peace in Ukraine dedicated to the Russo-Ukrainian War was held in Switzerland, with representatives from over 90 countries in attendance. In the course of preparation for the summit, the number of topics discussed was reduced to three main humanitarian issues rather than military concerns. Eighty participating countries signed the final communiqué, although Iraq and Jordan later withdrew their signatures.

Sitrep for June 12-14, 2024 (as of 8:30 UTC+3 a.m.)

Russian forces persist in their attempts to advance in the Kharkiv region, sometimes achieving minor successes. Notably, they have managed to occupy part of the Vovchansk aggregate plant, an advantageous position that allows them to control two destroyed bridges over the Vovcha River from relatively tall buildings. A third bridge, located further west, is also likely controlled by Russian soldiers stationed near the hospital. Consequently, the northern part of Vovchansk on the right side of the Vovcha River might effectively be contested territory, as the Armed Forces of Ukrainian are choosing to engage targets in that area with artillery and drone strikes rather than infantry troops.

Sitrep for June 10-12, 2024 (as of 8:30 a.m. UTC+3)

In its latest report, the Russian Ministry of Defense has announced the capture of the villages of Artyomivka in the Luhansk region and Tymkivka in the Kharkiv region, in the Kupiansk direction.

Sitrep for June 7-10, 2024 (as of 8 a.m. UTC+3)

There have been no significant changes on the Donetsk axis. Russian soldiers released a video showing them planting flags after rushing inside a partially destroyed building in the Kanal neighborhood of Chasiv Yar. As usual, “flag photo ops” are in no way proof of territorial control; the real status of an area is always better portrayed by how freely soldiers move around flag-planting locations. In this instance, the soldiers fled from the building back to Russian-controlled territory, encountering an abandoned infantry fighting vehicle along the way, which they later destroyed with an FPV drone. Although DeepState has marked about half of the neighborhood as captured, we believe the area shown in the video still to be contested.

Sitrep for June 3-7, 2024 (as of 9 a.m. UTC+3)

Politico reports that the completion of F-16 training for Ukrainian pilots in the United States has been postponed until the end of September. The reasons for the delay have not been disclosed, but it is assumed that funding issues related to the prolonged approval of the assistance bill for Ukraine might be a factor. It appears as though the first pilots to complete their retraining on the F-16 fighter aircraft will be the eight currently training in Denmark.

Sitrep for May 31-June 3, 2024 (as of 9 a.m. UTC+3)

Over the past days, fighting has continued on the Kharkiv axis, but still without progress. A video has emerged filmed on the eastern flank near the village of Starytsya, west of Buhruvatka. The footage shows four Russian T-62 tanks attacked by FPV kamikaze drones of the 42nd Mechanized Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. We rarely see armored vehicles on this axis and T-62 tanks have never been spotted here before.

Sitrep for May 29-31, 2024 (as of 8:30 a.m. UTC+3)

The United States has officially allowed Ukraine to use Western weapons to attack targets on Russian territory, albeit a small part of it. This follows weeks of extensive public campaigning to ease the ban on their use on Russian soil. Now, the Armed Forces of Ukraine can use artillery against ammunition storage facilities and military equipment depots, as well as Russian troops and field camps, in areas where troops and military assets are directly involved in the offensive on the Kharkiv axis. Specifically, this mainly concerns the Belgorod region.

Sitrep for May 27-29, 2024 (as of 8:30 a.m. UTC+3)

The pace of the Russian offensive in the Kharkiv region has continued to slow in recent days. The only significant development on that front was a counterattack by the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the central part of Vovchansk, on the right (northern) bank of the Vovcha River. Securing a foothold in this part of the town will likely prove difficult, as many of the houses have already been heavily damaged by Russian airstrikes and artillery. Nevertheless, the success of this counterattack is significant in itself. West of Vovchansk, near the village of Buhruvatka, which we previously mentioned, the Russian Armed Forces are yet to ford the Siverskyi Donets River.

Sitrep for May 24-27, 2024 (as of 8:00 a.m. UTC+3)

On the evening of May 25, Russian forces struck the Epicenter home improvement store in Kharkiv using two D-30SN Universal Inter-Branch Gliding Munitions (UMPB), according to Kharkiv police reports. CCTV footage from the parking lot captured at least two explosions, with the second possibly being a double explosion, indicating that three munitions could have been directed at the target.