Sitrep for Aug. 10-13, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
On Aug. 12, analysts finally marked the results of the Ukrainian six-month offensive in the Oleksandrivka direction on the map, timing the update to coincide with a post by the Ukrainian Air Assault Forces about the operation, which began on Jan. 29, 2026. The Armed Forces of Ukraine made most of their gains in the Dnipropetrovsk region, although they also captured several settlements in the Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk regions.
Sitrep for Aug. 7-10, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
In the Zaporizhzhia region, in the Orikhiv direction, Ukrainian strikes were recorded against a suspected Russian position in the northwestern part of the village of Mala Tokmachka. Based on this, as well as the presence of Russian assault troops on the outskirts of the town of Orikhiv, some observers concluded that Mala Tokmachka may already be under the control of the Russian Armed Forces (in which case, the soldiers would have reached these positions from the southeastern part of the village). However, we consider it much more likely that the assault troops advanced toward Orikhiv from the village of Robotyne via the village of Novodanylivka (a similar route is shown on the map produced by the pro-Russian Slivochnyi Kapriz project)...
Sitrep for Aug. 3-7, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
In the Kharkiv region, Russian forces continue advancing from two directions toward the village of Bilyi Kolodiaz. They are still attempting to advance from the village of Artilne toward the villages of Ustynivka and Ivashkyne, while also pushing from the northwest—from the village of Vovchanski Khutory toward Bilyi Kolodiaz itself. Meanwhile, the MoD has claimed to have captured Ustynivka, Bilyi Kolodiaz and the village of Baksheivka to its east. This time, however, the ministry did not even release any flag-planting photo ops, publishing only combat footage. Nevertheless, this sector of the frontline has become much more active than it was in previous months.
Sitrep for July 31-Aug. 03, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
Last week, footage emerged of a Russian armored vehicle assault in the Dobropillia direction in the Donetsk region, where such attacks have become relatively rare in recent months. Now, footage has been published from the border area of the Kharkiv region showing the Armed Forces of Ukraine launching a tank assault. The video shows Russian drones striking abandoned Ukrainian tanks near the villages of Khatnie and Ambarne. The tanks are fitted with large improvised cope cages, making it difficult to identify their models. The fact that the footage shows strikes against abandoned vehicles suggests that these were far from the first attempts to destroy them: after the initial strikes—likely the ones that immobilized the tanks—the Ukrainian...
Sitrep for July 27-31, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
In the Donetsk region, the situation north of the towns of Pokrovsk and Rodynske continues to develop. A video has emerged showing a Russian soldier with a flag almost in the center of the village of Vodianske, northwest of Rodynske and south of Dobropillia. The presence of a lone Russian assault soldier so far from confirmed positions of the Russian Armed Forces, even if he was able to move freely through the village, does not by itself prove that it has been captured. On the one hand, this could indicate that the new Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Mykhailo Drapatyi, has already begun implementing the policy outlined by former Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov of straightening the frontline and withdrawing from...
Sitrep for July 24-27, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
According to a statement by the Russian Ministry of Defense, the first Russian army assault units have entered the village of Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka in the Kostiantynivka direction. Although there have indeed been increasing reports of small assault groups infiltrating the village recently, it is too early to conclude that they have established a foothold there. It is even more premature to infer that the town of Kostiantynivka has been captured. At present, we see no evidence that the Russian Armed Forces control the town. Fighting appears to be ongoing in some areas and may last through the end of summer. Researcher Playfra, who is in contact with Ukrainian military personnel, has likewise reported that the fighting for Kostiantynivka...
Sitrep for July 20-24, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
The shake-up in Ukraine’s military leadership continues to dominate recent headlines. General Yevhen Khmara remains acting defense minister. On July 22, following prolonged discussions and meetings with military personnel—and driven partly by public pressure—Volodymyr Zelenskyy dismissed Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi and Chief of Staff Anatoliy Hnatov. They were replaced by Major Generals Mykhailo Drapatyi, the former commander of the Joint Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and Ihor Skybiuk, the former commander of the Air Assault Forces, respectively. Both officers enjoy strong reputations, with Drapatyi in particular drawing widespread praise, including from Ukraine's former Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, Kyrylo...
Sitrep for July 17-20, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
On July 6, Robert "Madiar" Brovdi, commander of the Unmanned Systems Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, announced the start of Operation MoLoChKa, which stands for "Moscow will fall through Crimea." The operation involves numerous strikes against Russian vessels in the Azov and Black Seas. On July 18, Brovdi revealed the military impact of the operation. The Russian Armed Forces are redeploying Rubicon UAV units, as well as air defense units, from the frontline to the coast (the Atesh movement reported this on July 16). The redeployment is intended to protect the "shadow fleet," as well as bridges and other infrastructure.
Sitrep for July 13-17, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
The biggest news story this week has been the resignation of Ukrainian Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov. Technically, it was not a dismissal: following the resignation of Prime Minister Yulia Svyrydenko, the entire cabinet was automatically dissolved, and Fedorov was not invited to join the new administration. Publicly, however, he has already been blamed for failing to reform the territorial recruitment centers (TCCs) and the broader mobilization system. In recent weeks, clashes between civilians and TCC personnel have escalated. For instance, a riot against forced recruitment erupted in Lviv on July 8, and on July 14, recruitment officers assaulted a woman while attempting to detain a man.
Sitrep for July 10-13, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
Over the past several days, there have been virtually no significant changes along the frontline. Fighting for the town of Kostiantynivka continues, and new footage has emerged showing Russian flags, indicating that the Russian Armed Forces have reached the northern outskirts of the town.