Sitrep for Oct. 31-Nov. 3, 2025 (as of 12 a.m. UTC+3)
Information has emerged about an operation by the Main Intelligence Directorate (GUR) of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, involving two UH-60 Black Hawk helicopters, carried out in the town of Pokrovsk, apparently on Oct. 29. It was around that time that the first reports about a certain "creative" operation by the GUR appeared in Ukrainian Telegram channels. Several days later, videos showing these helicopters on the outskirts of Pokrovsk were published, along with a self-exposing, baseless statement from the Russian Ministry of Defense claiming that all 11 GUR special forces troops who landed had been eliminated. In reality, each of the two helicopters can carry 11 infantrymen. Apparently, the Russian MoD hastily announced the...
Sitrep for Oct. 27-31, 2025 (as of 10:30 a.m. UTC+3)
Recently, primary attention has again shifted to the town of Pokrovsk, where the situation for Ukrainian forces continues to deteriorate. DeepState analysts have significantly expanded the contested area on the map, both within and beyond the town. It now reaches the outskirts of the village of Hryshyne, northwest of Pokrovsk. This area includes the two remaining supply routes to Pokrovsk—one running northwest toward the city of Pavlohrad and another to the north through Hryshyne itself. Russian soldiers have already been observed along both roads.
Sitrep for Oct. 24-27, 2025 (as of 7:30 a.m. UTC+3)
In the Dobropillia direction, Ukrainian forces have continued mopping-up the northern part of the salient over the past few days. They have fully liberated the villages of Kucheriv Yar, Sukhetske (north of the town of Rodynske), and Zatyshok (known as Suvorove until 2024) and have also advanced near the village of Nove Shakhove. It is worth noting that Ukraine’s efforts to eliminate the Dobropillia salient are driven by the need to secure supply routes leading toward the town of Druzhkivka and the city of Kramatorsk.
Sitrep for Oct. 20-24, 2025 (as of 11 a.m. UTC+3)
Recently, there has been some activity along several fronts, but one of the most widely circulated reports about Russian advances appears to have little to no factual basis. The Kremlin-aligned news outlet Mash claimed that Ukrainian forces suffered heavy losses—up to 500 troops—in fighting for Karantynnyi Island (part of the city of Kherson). The report alleged that the operation took place under the cover of electronic warfare systems, which supposedly jammed Ukrainian Starlink communications.
Sitrep for Oct. 17-20, 2025 (as of 9 a.m. UTC+3)
Russia’s offensive appears to be developing most actively in the Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhzhia regions. According to the researcher Playfra, Russian forces have captured the village of Novomykolaivka in the Zaporizhzhia region—a change not yet reflected on the DeepState map.
Sitrep for Oct. 13-17, 2025 (as of 10:30 a.m. UTC+3)
In the Dobropillia direction, our assessment—as well as that of Ukrainian military observer Kostiantyn Mashovets—continues to differ from the DeepState map. We believe that the Russian Armed Forces have nearly regained control over the territory of the Dobropillia breakthrough and are continuing attempts to expand it. On the DeepState map, over the past few days, the area marked as occupied by Russian forces around the village of Kucheriv Yar and between the villages of Nove Shakhove and Shakhove has been further reduced. We have not seen any video evidence confirming these changes; it is possible that the project’s analysts obtained this information from their own sources or are deliberately publishing distorted data.
Sitrep for Oct. 10-13, 2025 (as of 7 a.m. UTC+3)
In its latest update, the DeepState map has published a version of the frontline near Dobropillia that is diverging ever further from our own assessment. In the past, we noted that DeepState updates tended to lag behind real developments. Now, however, while we see the situation around the Dobropillia salient continuously worsening, DeepState’s analysts still report growing successes for the Ukrainian army.
Sitrep for Oct. 6-10, 2025 (as of 10:00 a.m. UTC+3)
In the Sumy region, Russian forces have been advancing from the village of Novomykolaivka toward the village of Varachyne. Fighting in this area has seen mixed results—in mid-September, the Armed Forces of Ukraine successfully counterattacked near the village of Kostiantynivka, pushing the enemy back to a water barrier. Now, however, the Russian Armed Forces have resumed their offensive and captured several Ukrainian positions.
Sitrep for Oct. 3-6, 2025 (as of 8:30 a.m. UTC+3)
In the South Donetsk direction, in recent days, the Armed Forces of Ukraine counterattacked the Russian Armed Forces in the Dnipropetrovsk region, liberating the villages of Sosnivka and Khoroshe and regaining control over several positions in the villages of Sichneve (known as Yanvarske until 2024) and Novoselivka. Meanwhile, Russian forces continued to advance south of Sosnivka and in the area of the village of Ternove.
Sitrep for Sept. 29-Oct. 3, 2025 (as of 10:30 a.m. UTC+3)
The Russian Armed Forces continue their offensive in the border areas of the Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhzhia regions. In recent days, they captured the villages of Olhivske in the Zaporizhzhia region, as well as Berezove and Kalynivske in the Dnipropetrovsk region.