
The next sitrep will be released on Jan. 12, the 1,419th day of the war. On that day, Russia’s full-scale war against Ukraine will surpass the Great Patriotic War in duration.

In the Siversk direction, the Russian Armed Forces continue their offensive. They have captured the town of Siversk—the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine announced a withdrawal from the town on Dec. 23—and are advancing further west. The Russian Ministry of Defense has already claimed the capture of the village of Sviato-Pokrovske, southwest of Siversk, though on the DeepState map it remains marked as contested.

In the Kupiansk direction, the situation has become extremely unfavorable for the Russian army. Although the town of Kupiansk is officially listed as captured, even pro-Russian mil-bloggers acknowledge that this is not the case. Pro-Russian military correspondent Vladimir Romanov marked what is effectively an encirclement of Russian forces in the town on his map, while the Slivochny Kapriz [Creamy Caprice] project showed a salient with a very narrow base, meaning that troops in the center are almost completely surrounded. Meanwhile, there have been no official statements claiming that the current fighting is aimed at relieving the encircled Russian units in central Kupiansk.

In the Dobropillia direction, as noted by the Playfra researcher, Russian forces are advancing toward the village of Sofiivka, and have also expanded their presence on the western bank of the Kazenyi Torets River in the area of the villages of Maiak, Pankivka and Shakhove. The pressure of the Russian Armed Forces in this area has noticeably increased—in addition to Sofiivka, they are attempting to advance around the former Dobropillia salient in order to retake positions there.

Over the past two days, there have been no significant changes to the frontline. However, new information has emerged from several events described in the previous sitrep.

Frontline Situation Update In the Kharkiv region, the Armed Forces of Ukraine continue counterattacks against the Russian Armed Forces in the town of Kupiansk. By the end of the week, Ukrainian forces had already liberated a significant part of the town, were attacking Russian positions on the northern outskirts, and had also advanced northwest of Kupiansk. During the offensive, the villages of Myrne, Radkivka and Kindrashivka were liberated, while Sobolivka was cleared. Although the Russian side had officially claimed to have captured Sobolivka, Russian forces were unable to gain a foothold there.

In Kupiansk, the Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to counterattack Russian forces in the central and northern parts of the town. Although in the eastern part only an occasional presence of the Russian Armed Forces had been noted—which did not prevent the town from being declared captured on Nov. 20—and no presence had been observed to the east of Kupiansk at all, the Russian Ministry of Defense unexpectedly announced the capture of the village of Kucherivka, located near the town’s eastern outskirts. Russian soldiers have not been observed there. However, the capture of the neighboring village of Petropavlivka was announced at the same time as the statement about Kupiansk, and at the end of the month Russian troops did appear...

According to DeepState, the Russian Armed Forces have advanced in the town of Vovchansk in the Kharkiv region, which Russian authorities declared captured late on Dec. 1. The town is divided by the Vovcha River into two parts. Until recently, the RuAF controlled almost the entire right-bank part (which, according to some reports, is now nearly cleared) and a small area in the western part of the left bank.

The advance of Russian forces continues in the Huliaipole direction. The influence of Ukrainian assault units that were deployed to stabilize the situation has not yet been reflected on the DeepState map. In contrast, advances were recorded on Nov. 29 near the village of Rivnopillia and in Huliaipole itself.

In the Huliaipole direction, in the eastern part of the Zaporizhzhia region, the situation for Ukrainian forces remains extremely difficult. It is worth noting that combat operations in the region are currently taking place around the town of Huliaipole, slightly to the west in the Orikhiv direction, and also near the village of Stepnohirsk (this sector is more often referred to as the Zaporizhzhia axis).