
This week, Russian forces continued attempts to bring the real situation in the Kupiansk direction into line with official reports. On Feb. 9, Russian troops carried out a mechanized attack near the villages of Petropavlivka and Podoly. As a result, according to Ukrainian servicemen, a column of Russian military equipment, including two MT-LB multi-purpose armored vehicles, 11 quad bikes and two buggies, was destroyed. Seventeen soldiers were reportedly killed and four wounded. Earlier, advances east of the town of Kupiansk had been reported only "on paper."

Russian forces continue to create new small bridgeheads in the Sumy and Kharkiv regions and expand existing ones. Russia’s Ministry of Defense claimed the capture of the border village of Popivka in the Sumy region; however, it is unclear which Popivka they meant—one located north of the village of Vysoke, captured around the same time as the village of Hrabovske (in late December), or another situated much farther south of Hrabovske, which would indicate an attempt to establish a new bridgehead. Ukrainian servicemen recorded a video with a flag in the Popivka north of Vysoke, but, judging by maps, there are no houses there, so it remains unclear where the Russian video was filmed. Pro-Russian Telegram channels have also been unable...

According to DeepState, Ukrainian forces have successfully continued clearing operations in the center of the town of Kupiansk. A small number of Russian assault troops remain surrounded there, but the entire southern part of the town has now been fully cleared. Russian official sources have not commented on this; according to them, Kupiansk is considered fully captured.

In the Kupiansk direction, reality continues to diverge more and more from the picture described by the Russian General Staff. On Jan. 26, General Valery Gerasimov, Chief of the General Staff of the RuAF, claimed that Russian forces had captured the village of Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi, located south of the town of Kupiansk in the Ukrainian rear. This was refuted by Ukrainian servicemen: Roman Kovalyov, commander of the 413th Separate Rifle Battalion of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, recorded a video in the center of the village without body armor or a helmet, and no sounds of combat could be heard in the background.

For approximately one month, a noticeable operational pause has persisted along the frontline. In recent days, the Russian Armed Forces have made little to no territorial gains. The most significant developments have occurred in the Kharkiv region in the Vovchansk direction. According to available reports, Russian forces have seized the village of Starytsia, located west of the town of Vovchansk. Earlier reports also indicated advances southwest of Vovchansk toward Symynivka, which the Russian Ministry of Defense has already claimed as captured, as well as limited movement eastward near the village of Vovchanski Khutory.

In the Kharkiv region, fighting continues in the Vovchansk direction. Russia’s Ministry of Defense has claimed the capture of the village of Symynivka, south of Vovchansk. There are reports of advances there, but no confirmation of the village’s capture has appeared. According to DeepState, the Russian Armed Forces are advancing in the area of the village of Synelnykove.

The Russian Group of Troops “North” continues to enter Ukraine’s border areas in order to seize small villages located in the contested area. After advancing into Hrabovske and Komarivka in the Sumy region, the group attempted to move into the village of Dehtyarnе in the Kharkiv region, east of the town of Vovchansk. This time, however, Ukrainian border guards detected the advancing Russian infantry under cover of artillery and drones early on and repelled the attack.

This week, the Russian Armed Forces seized another small area in the border part of Ukraine’s Sumy region—the village of Komarivka, located north of the main Russian bridgehead. As we have repeatedly noted, the border area effectively constitutes a contested zone, so crossing the border and entering the village evidently posed little difficulty. At the same time, Komarivka is located far from the main Russian bridgehead, and its capture is militarily impractical. Advancing deeper into Ukrainian territory and opening up a new direction of attack would clearly require additional resources, which the RuAF already lack. The reason for announcing the capture of Komarivka became more or less clear after a statement by General Valery...

Jan. 12 marks the 1,419th day of Russia’s full-scale war against Ukraine. Today, the war has become one day longer than the Great Patriotic War.

The next sitrep will be released on Jan. 12, the 1,419th day of the war. On that day, Russia’s full-scale war against Ukraine will surpass the Great Patriotic War in duration.