Sitrep for Sept. 7-10, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
Playfra has partially confirmed AMK Mapping’s assessment that the Russian Armed Forces have reached the Dobropillia-Kramatorsk highway. In particular, Russian soldiers have been spotted south and southeast of the village of Novotroitske, as well as in the northern part of the village of Raiske. Later, Playfra, citing the 1st Azov Corps of the National Guard, reported that three Russian soldiers were captured in the village of Staroraiske, in the immediate vicinity of the western outskirts of the town of Druzhkivka. Thus, the situation in the Dobropillia direction remains difficult: the RuAF continue to infiltrate the area and are gradually moving closer to Druzhkivka.
Sitrep for Sept. 3-7, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
According to estimates by the Finnish independent monitoring group Black Bird Group, the pace of the Russian Armed Forces’ advance increased slightly in August compared with July, with Russian forces gaining 133 square kilometers versus 106 square kilometers. However, compared with the previous summer, this summer can reasonably be described as unsuccessful: Black Bird Group recorded Russian gains of 430 square kilometers in August and 502 square kilometers in July last year. That said, the war is developing differently this year than in previous years, and monthly territorial statistics should therefore be treated primarily as operational indicators useful for assessing changes from month to month. Comparisons with the corresponding...
Sitrep for Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
In the Orikhiv direction, the Russian Ministry of Defense claimed to have captured the villages of Chervona Krynytsia (northeast of the town of Orikhiv) and Novopavlivka (northwest of Orikhiv). Given last year's claims that the villages of Mala Tokmachka and Novodanylivka had been captured, this means that, according to the MoD, Orikhiv is already almost surrounded. At the same time, only a flag-planting photo op was shown from Chervona Krynytsia, while no such footage has emerged from Novopavlivka. At present, these villages can be considered part of the contested area.
Sitrep for Aug. 27-31, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
Although summer is drawing to a close, the military campaign continues to intensify, and active fighting will most likely continue at least until the leaves fall and the muddy season sets in—possibly until the end of December, as was the case last year. Therefore, there is little point in discussing the results of the "summer offensive," nor should reports of yet another alleged deadline set by Putin for the capture of the Donbas be taken seriously. Even if such orders were issued, they were not followed by any significant acceleration of the offensive, nor were there noticeable personnel consequences for failing to meet the deadlines.
Sitrep for August 24-27, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
In the Dobropillia direction, where, according to our team and other analysts, the Russian Armed Forces made a localized breakthrough, the corresponding expansion of the "gray zone" has still not been reflected on DeepState's map. The Russian Ministry of Defense has announced the capture of the villages of Kucheriv Yar and Hannivka. However, the ministry has released only combat footage, which does not confirm even partial control of the villages. Nevertheless, individual Russian assault troops are already infiltrating these settlements.
Sitrep for August 20-24, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
The end of summer is approaching, but it is too early to speak of the results of the summer offensive: this year's Russian offensive campaign only intensified in the second half of the summer and will continue for at least another couple of months.
Sitrep for Aug. 17-20, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
In the Zaporizhzhia region, the Russian Ministry of Defense has claimed the capture of the village of Novosoloshyne, which lies west of the current frontline. In our assessment, the boundary of the contested area runs through the villages of Vozdvyzhivka and Rizdvianka, putting Novosoloshyne even farther behind the current line shown on the DeepState map, which is often updated with a delay.
Sitrep for Aug. 13-17, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
The main development on the frontline remains the successful Ukrainian operation in the Dnipropetrovsk region in the Oleksandrivka direction. Last week, Ukraine officially announced that it had liberated a large number of settlements over the past six months, and DeepState reflected these advances on its map. The Russian side responded almost immediately, publishing footage showing Russian flags in roughly the same areas where the Armed Forces of Ukraine had been advancing. OSINT researchers who examined these posts found that in some cases the claimed geolocation did not match the actual location; in others, the footage turned out to be old; and some videos had been generated using AI. The latter does not yet appear to be a systemic...
Sitrep for Aug. 10-13, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
On Aug. 12, analysts finally marked the results of the Ukrainian six-month offensive in the Oleksandrivka direction on the map, timing the update to coincide with a post by the Ukrainian Air Assault Forces about the operation, which began on Jan. 29, 2026. The Armed Forces of Ukraine made most of their gains in the Dnipropetrovsk region, although they also captured several settlements in the Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk regions.
Sitrep for Aug. 7-10, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
In the Zaporizhzhia region, in the Orikhiv direction, Ukrainian strikes were recorded against a suspected Russian position in the northwestern part of the village of Mala Tokmachka. Based on this, as well as the presence of Russian assault troops on the outskirts of the town of Orikhiv, some observers concluded that Mala Tokmachka may already be under the control of the Russian Armed Forces (in which case, the soldiers would have reached these positions from the southeastern part of the village). However, we consider it much more likely that the assault troops advanced toward Orikhiv from the village of Robotyne via the village of Novodanylivka (a similar route is shown on the map produced by the pro-Russian Slivochnyi Kapriz project)...