Sitrep for May 11-15, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
On May 13 and 14, Russia launched a massive aerial strike against Ukraine, the largest since the start of the war. A total of 1,567 drones and 56 missiles of various types were deployed. The primary target was Kyiv. It appears that during the ceasefire announced by Trump, Russia accumulated drones in order to conduct a larger-scale raid than has been seen in recent months. In addition to UAVs, more than 50 missiles were launched to further overload Ukrainian air defenses and inflict greater damage.
Sitrep for May 9-11, 2026 (as of 10:30 a.m. UTC+3)
On May 8, even before the ceasefire announced by Trump, Ukrainian forces struck the office of the Southern Air Navigation (a branch of the State Air Traffic Management Corporation) in Rostov-on-Don. This office manages all air traffic in southern Russia, including international flights passing through regions controlled by the center. The air navigation center cannot be considered a legitimate military target. The strike was likely intended to exert psychological pressure on Russian residents who were on vacation during the May holidays. As a result of the strike, numerous flights were canceled and delayed, leaving the sky over the southern part of the country empty. The imposed flight restrictions were lifted fairly quickly: some were...
Sitrep for May 2-9, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
United States President Donald Trump announced a three-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine for May 9-11, which was later confirmed by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Putin’s aide Yury Ushakov. A 1,000-for-1,000 POW exchange is also to take place. Previously, neither side had intended to observe unilateral ceasefires announced by the other. Putin had declared a "ceasefire" for May 8-9, while Zelenskyy stressed that a ceasefire should serve to save lives rather than celebrate Victory Day, and announced a cessation of hostilities beginning at midnight on May 6, promising reciprocal responses to Russian strikes. However, Ukraine was struck again that same day, and there was effectively no talk of a real ceasefire in the...
Sitrep for April 24-May 2, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
In the Kupiansk direction, according to researcher Playfra, Russian forces have been actively attempting since January to infiltrate from the village of Pishchane into the village of Kurylivka, which lies directly adjacent to the western outskirts of the village of Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi. As a result, infantry units are gradually moving into the area from Kurylivka, advancing building by building. A similar pattern of infiltration is taking place in the village of Kivsharivka, south of Kurylivka, although the concentration of the Russian Armed Forces there is lower than around Kurylivka. It appears that Russian forces are attempting to split the Ukrainian foothold east of the Oskil River into two, making it easier to push the Armed Forces...
Sitrep for April 13-24, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
On April 20, Yuliia Kyriienko-Merinova, a journalist from Ukraine’s Television News Service (TSN), reported a deterioration in the situation in the Sumy region, noting that four Russian incursions had been recorded along Ukraine’s border. Small groups of Russian Armed Forces personnel are advancing from the east and north, and assault actions have begun in some areas. Kyriienko-Merinova described the potential partial encirclement of the city of Sumy as the most unfavorable scenario.
Sitrep for April 10-13, 2026 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)
On April 10, the Russian Ministry of Defense announced the capture of two settlements for the first time since the beginning of the month: the border village of Myropilske in the Sumy region (north of the village of Hrabovske) and the village of Dibrova in the Donetsk region (north-west of the village of Fedorivka Druha, in the Sloviansk direction—not to be confused with the village of Dibrova west of Yampil).
Sitrep for April 6-10, 2026 (as of 9 a.m. UTC+3)
Over the past week, there have been no significant changes along the frontline. Notably, for an entire week—from the Russian Ministry of Defense’s April 1 announcement of the capture of the village of Boikove in the Zaporizhzhia region up to the time of recording this sitrep—the Russian MoD has not announced the "liberation" of a single settlement.
Sitrep for April 4-6, 2026 (as of 9 a.m. UTC+3)
Video from the Lyman direction has surfaced showing a Ukrainian Mil Mi-8 helicopter tossing unguided air-to-surface rockets using a "pitch-up" maneuver, lofting the munitions by pulling its nose upward. This method of fire is largely ineffective and, in some respects, resembles the use of a multiple-launch rocket system. The rationale for employing helicopters in this manner is unclear, particularly given the maneuver’s inherent danger. A Russian Kamov Ka-52 (Hokum B) attack helicopter was recently shot down while performing a similar strike. Such operations are equally perilous for Ukrainian aircraft, especially as this helicopter flew close to the "gray zone" west of the village of Drobysheve, where Russian drones are
Sitrep for March 30-April 4, 2026 (as of 8 a.m. UTC+3)
The duration of the full-scale war has now exceeded 1,500 days, and there are currently no indicators that it could even be frozen in the coming months.
Sitrep for March 27-30, 2026 (as of 9 UTC+3 a.m.)
Russian forces continue their offensive toward the town of Kostiantynivka. Previously, assault troops had already advanced into the central part of the town. Last week, Russian forces conducted another attack. On Mar. 25, two tanks advanced on Kostiantynivka from the direction of Toretsk, likely intended to draw the attention of Ukrainian UAVs. Simultaneously, three infantry groups moved toward the town: one advanced by motorcycle along the highway from the direction of Pokrovsk; a second attacked from Ivanopillia; and a third advanced along the railway line between Ivanopillia and Oleksandro-Shultyne. The assault was detected by Ukrainian drones and subsequently repelled.