dispatches

Sitrep for April 11-14, 2025 (as of 10:30 a.m. UTC+3)

In the Kursk region, the frontline has remained virtually unchanged in recent days, according to our observations. Recent updates on the DeepState map reflect Russian advances that occurred over the past two weeks. The Russian Armed Forces are now fighting near the outskirts of the village of Gornal—video footage, reportedly, shows commanders using drones to coordinate Russian assault groups, and images show Russian strikes on a monastery near the village. The bridgehead near the hamlet of Oleshnya also appears unchanged—an assessment echoed by pro-Russian sources. However, footage showing Ukrainian strikes on Russian troops approaching the area suggests that fighting for control is ongoing.

Sitrep for April 7-11, 2025 (as of 10:30 a.m. UTC+3)

Fighting continues in the Sumy region for the village of Basivka. A recent video shows Russian soldiers arriving on ATVs, dismounting, and attempting to gain a foothold in the village. They move in short bursts between destroyed houses, searching for cover while under attack from Ukrainian drones.

Sitrep for April 4-7, 2025 (as of 10:30 a.m. UTC+3)

The pace of combat operations continues to slow down. The changes observed along the frontline are now so minor that in previous months we might not have even mentioned them in our summaries.

Sitrep for March 31-April 4, 2025 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)

Fighting continues for the village of Guyevo in the Kursk region, as confirmed by a video filmed inside a destroyed building showing Russian soldiers. According to our assessment, Guyevo remains largely a contested zone, with only a small part of the village under Russian control.

Sitrep for March 28-31, 2025 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)

In the Kursk region, contrary to the information depicted on DeepState’s map, which does not fully reflect the shrinking area of the Ukrainian bridgehead, the Russian Armed Forces have not only seized the Sudzha International Automobile Border Crossing Point and advanced toward the hamlet of Oleshnya, but have also partially occupied the village of Guyevo, as confirmed by video footage. Thus, at present, the Armed Forces of Ukraine, it seems, only control small patches of land near Oleshnya and between the villages of Gornal to Guyevo.

Sitrep for March 24-28, 2025 (as of 10 a.m. UTC+3)

In the Kursk region, Russian paratroopers have reached the Sudzha International Automobile Border Crossing Point–a recently published video shows them waving the Russian flag from the rooftop of a building.

Sitrep for March 21-24, 2025 (as of 9 a.m. UTC+3)

The Wall Street Journal published a report on the withdrawal of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the Kursk region, featuring comments from Ukrainian soldiers.

Sitrep for March 17-21, 2025 (as of 9:30 a.m. UTC+3) 

Over the past 24 hours, the frontline in the Kursk region has become more active. The Russian Armed Forces have advanced further, reducing the width of the Ukrainian bridgehead to just 4-5 km [2.5-3.1 mi].

Sitrep for March 14-17, 2025 (as of 10:30 a.m. UTC+3) 

In the Kursk region, the remaining part of the Armed Forces of Ukraine's bridgehead has not been fully cleared in recent days—two sections remain under Ukrainian control. These areas, less than 10 km [6.2 mi] wide, are highly vulnerable to Russian fire. The AFU continue to hold this elevated ground, as shown on the DeepState map. This positioning allows for better control of the area, preventing Russian advances into the Sumy region. It also enables Ukrainian forces to construct fortifications, establish defensive positions and repel Russian saboteurs attacking the lowland villages of Basivka and Novenke. We believe it is unlikely that the AFU will retain this remaining bridgehead for long, meaning the Russian Armed Forces will likely...

Sitrep for March 10-14, 2025 (as of 11 a.m. UTC+3) 

Almost the entire frontline remains quiet, with the only exception still being the Ukrainian bridgehead in the Kursk region. In recent days, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have withdrawn from most of the town of Sudzha.