The Russian Armed Forces continue advancing in the Pokrovske direction. They have captured the village of Novobakhmutivka, entered Soloviove and intensified pressure on Novokalynove to the north, aiming to solidify their tactical gains around Ocheretyne and secure their flanks. With the imminent arrival of new Western weapons shipments to Ukraine, Russian forces now seek to preemptively expand the size of their breach to prevent the Armed Forces of Ukraine from cutting off their supply routes with reinvigorated artillery fire. Rapid progress along the road from Ocheretyne to Pokrovsk, however, carries a risk of encirclement for the advancing Russian contingent.

In the Pokrovsk (Avdiivka) direction, the Russian Armed Forces have seized a significant portion of the village of Ocheretyne, northwest of Avdiivka. This is substantiated by video footage recorded in the southern and central parts of the village, as well as by Ukrainian sources who later reported on the complete capture of the village.

The Russian Armed Forces have made slight progress on the Donetsk axis, south of the town of Marinka, and captured the village of Novomykhailivka. A photo and a video filmed by soldiers of the 155th Guards Naval Infantry Brigade of the RuAF on the outskirts of the village have emerged.

Details of the Ukrainian Armed Forces attack on the Dzhankoi airfield in Crimea on April 17 have emerged. The Ukrainian side stated that they targeted a military airfield. The strike was confirmed by satellite data from NASA's Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS). The video published by the General Staff of the AFU shows the launch of missiles with solid fuel engines. Based on the distance of the strikes on Dzhankoi, we can conclude that ATACMS tactical ballistic missiles were most likely used. This was confirmed by the Polkovnyk Henshtabu [Colonel of the General Staff] Telegram channel, which analyzed a photo of a missile fragment. Ukrainian journalist Yurii Butusov also reported on the use of this type of missile.

Ukrainian forces continue to strike targets in the Russian rear:

Last week, we reported about the Russian Armed Forces advancing through the lowlands in the vicinity of Ivanivske and near Bohdanivka northwest of Bakhmut. It has now been confirmed that Russian forces have successfully seized full control of Bohdanivka in recent days. Despite claims by Nazar Voloshyn, spokesman of the Khortytsia operational-strategic group, asserting that the village of Bohdanivka is still under Ukrainian control, there is objective evidence suggesting otherwise. The Ukrainian DeepState project has geolocated videos showing a Russian attack on a Ukrainian infantry fighting vehicle near a road leading to the village of Kalynivka, a Ukrainian counterattack on Russian positions in the west of Bohdanivka, as well as the...

Russia continues to attack Ukraine's power grid. On April 11, the Trypilska Thermal Power Plant, recognized as the most powerful power plant in the Kyiv region, was completely destroyed, reportedly by Kh-69 cruise missiles. As a result of this strike, Centrenergo [a major electric and thermal energy-producing company in central Ukraine and eastern Ukraine] lost all its generating capacities. The Zmiivska Thermal Power Plant had previously been destroyed and the Vuhlehirska Thermal Power Plant, also owned by the company, was captured.

Russian forces have advanced in the Avdiivka direction faster than expected—the village of Pervomaiske has already come under Russian control. It is worth noting that the fighting for the village has been going on for over a year and a half. The confirmation of the village's capture is supported by evidence of clashes occurring on its western outskirts. We believe that the Armed Forces of Ukraine may have opted to withdraw from Pervomaiske preemptively, possibly to avoid being cut off from supply routes. At the same time, we still anticipate that the Russian Armed Forces will seize the village of Umanske and move towards the village of Netailove.

The Russian Armed Forces have launched a new attack with a large armored column in the Donetsk region, this time targeting Chasiv Yar in the Bakhmut direction. This confirms our suspicion that the column earlier moving towards Popasna split in two, with one half launching an attack on Tonenke, and the other veering off to head towards Chasiv Yar. A video of the attack shows several vehicles blowing up on landmines, while several infantry fighting vehicles turn around and retreat along a dirt road.

Pro-Russian Telegram channels report that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are actively counterattacking near the village of Tonenke and gradually recapturing lost positions. Fighting continues west of Bakhmut, towards Ivanivske and Chasiv Yar, as well as west of Avdiivka along the Berdychi-Orlivka-Tonenke line.